Cracking Toyota's secret code: What to expect from new hardcore HiLux that's coming to take on the Ford Ranger Raptor

Toyota is working on a new "apex off-road" version of its HiLux ute to take on the Ford Ranger Raptor, setting the rumour mill alight that a GR-branded ute could finally be about to appear.

It's no secret that Ford has had the hardcore off-road segment all to itself for some time now with its Ranger Raptor, with Toyota so far unwilling to produce to a GR Hilux to take it on.

But on the eve of the new Ranger - and with it, the new Raptor - in Australia, Toyota's mysterious confirmation of an incoming "apex off-road variant" of its HiLux suggests that's all about to change.

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The question, of course, is what to expect from this new go-anywhere (and over anything) HiLux?

It's a story that began several years ago, with Toyota trademarking the name GR HiLux in Australia on the 20th of July 2019. The filing suggested it was a matter of when, not if, for a hardcore variant of the HiLux getting the green light.

Fast forward to July 6, and the brand – as part of a bigger announcement concerning the current-gen HiLux Rogue – at last confirmed that a true rival to the Ranger Raptor was coming soon. Billed as a new "apex off-road variant", the new model will replace the Rugged X.

"In a further upgrade to the HiLux range, Toyota plans to launch a new apex off-road variant, replacing the HiLux Rugged X. Details, including launch timing, will be announced in due course," the statement read.

So is it the GR HiLux at last? The truth is, we're not sure. Reporting to date has pointed to a true hardcore HiLux not arriving until the unveiling of an all-new model – expected to arrive in 2023 – and it's possible that the brand is flagging that release early.

More likely, though, is that Australia is set to welcome its first GR-S HiLux, which is less a ground-up new model, and more a way of squeezing more performance out of the current vehicle.

Several examples of the GR-S HiLux have been revealed around the world, but the most likely candidate for Australia is the South African version, which gets a power boost as well as new equipment.

While HiLux's engine hasn't changed, the GR-S has been tuned up to produce more power and torque, with 165kW and 550Nm on offer from its 2.8-litre turbo-diesel power plant.

The new HiLux GR Sport also dials up the performance and responsiveness, with new monotube shock absorbers and new front springs, with the brand promising the the "dedicated suspension enhancements deliver an even more rewarding driving experience, with increased control, responsiveness and grip feel."

But that GR-S is still largely deemed an on-road vehicle, and with Toyota promising its new ute will be an off-road beast, the jury remains out on exactly what the brand will be unveiling.

Another possibility is a combination of the GR-S ute's engine enhancements, along with the recently announced updates to the Rouge – a 140mm wider track both front and rear, a 20mm boost to ground clearance, and an “overhauled” suspension set-up, with the front stabiliser bar length extended and a new rear stabiliser bar – and off-road specific upgrades.

Toyota in Australia is unlikely to venture down the path of a local partnership (like Nissan with the Warrior or VW with the W Series), so any changes are likely to adopted from what's available around the world.

For now, though, we'll have to watch this space.